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Rate Hike Bets Gain Ground (8-12 June) Rate Hike Bets Gain Ground (8-12 June)

Strong US labor market data set the tone across asset classes, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve could deliver another rate hike later this year.

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Ceasefire Talks Calm Markets, Rate Risks Remain (1-5 June) Ceasefire Talks Calm Markets, Rate Risks Remain (1-5 June)

Markets entered June with a calmer tone as reports of progress in US-Iran talks helped ease pressure on energy prices. A possible 60-day ceasefire extension supported hopes that tensions around the Strait of Hormuz could cool further, although final approval from President Trump remains pending.

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Turning Point for Energy Markets (25-29 May) Turning Point for Energy Markets (25-29 May)

Financial markets started the week with a more constructive tone as optimism surrounding a potential US-Iran agreement fueled expectations of a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

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The Return of the Inflation Trade (18-22 May) The Return of the Inflation Trade (18-22 May)

Rising energy prices and persistent inflation pressures continued to reshape market expectations as Middle East tensions pushed oil higher and strengthened the case for tighter central bank policy.

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Jobs Data Strengthens, Markets Defensive (11-15 May) Jobs Data Strengthens, Markets Defensive (11-15 May)

Strong US payrolls reinforced confidence in the broader economy, yet tensions around the Strait of Hormuz continued to shape sentiment across currencies, commodities, and bond markets.

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Oil Swings with No Clear Trend (4-8 May) Oil Swings with No Clear Trend (4-8 May)

A volatile start to the week, where currencies, energy, and policy signals are pulling markets in different directions.

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Inflation Moves to the Rhythm of Oil (27 April-1 May) Inflation Moves to the Rhythm of Oil (27 April-1 May)

Continued tension in the Strait of Hormuz kept energy prices high and inflation risks in focus.

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One Market, One Trigger: The Hormuz Effect (20-24 April) One Market, One Trigger: The Hormuz Effect (20-24 April)

Commodity markets continued to swing between relief and renewed uncertainty, with each shift in the United States–Iran narrative quickly feeding into pricing.

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