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Labor Slowdown Weighs on Dollar (6-10 July 2026) Labor Slowdown Weighs on Dollar (6-10 July 2026)

A significantly weaker US jobs report halted the dollar's recent rally and prompted markets to adjust interest rate expectations.

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Jobs Week Takes Over (29 June-3 July) Jobs Week Takes Over (29 June-3 July)

The dollar stayed firm, keeping pressure on major currencies as attention shifts to this week's US jobs report and Fed expectations.

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Dollar's Back in Charge (22-26 June) Dollar's Back in Charge (22-26 June)

The US dollar strengthened to its highest level since May 2025 as the Fed maintained a hawkish tone, signaling that additional rate hikes remain possible despite leaving rates unchanged.

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Deal Eases Oil Risk (15-19 June 2026) Deal Eases Oil Risk (15-19 June 2026)

Reports of a US-Iran interim agreement to halt conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz improved global risk sentiment.

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Rate Hike Bets Gain Ground (8-12 June) Rate Hike Bets Gain Ground (8-12 June)

Strong US labor market data set the tone across asset classes, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve could deliver another rate hike later this year.

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Ceasefire Talks Calm Markets, Rate Risks Remain (1-5 June) Ceasefire Talks Calm Markets, Rate Risks Remain (1-5 June)

Markets entered June with a calmer tone as reports of progress in US-Iran talks helped ease pressure on energy prices. A possible 60-day ceasefire extension supported hopes that tensions around the Strait of Hormuz could cool further, although final approval from President Trump remains pending.

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Turning Point for Energy Markets (25-29 May) Turning Point for Energy Markets (25-29 May)

Financial markets started the week with a more constructive tone as optimism surrounding a potential US-Iran agreement fueled expectations of a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

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The Return of the Inflation Trade (18-22 May) The Return of the Inflation Trade (18-22 May)

Rising energy prices and persistent inflation pressures continued to reshape market expectations as Middle East tensions pushed oil higher and strengthened the case for tighter central bank policy.

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