Oil gained on renewed supply concerns from Russia, the euro strengthened on ECB signals, and UK data proved lingering growth challenges.
Global markets ended the week under pressure from weak U.S. labor data, which fueled expectations of multiple Fed rate cuts and drove broad dollar weakness.
The dollar strengthened after July’s core PCE rose 0.3%, lifting the annual rate to 2.9%, its fastest since February, reinforcing bets on a September 25 bps Fed cut. Consumer spending saw its strongest rise in four months, underscoring economic resilience despite soft labor data.
Global markets ended the week balancing Powell’s dovish signals with persistent inflation concerns and rising geopolitical risks.
Stronger US retail sales lifted sentiment but rising import prices renewed inflation worries. The dollar index slipped to 97.85, down 0.3% on the week. July retail sales came in stronger, but rising import prices raised inflation concerns.
The dollar index slipped to 98.2, set for a 0.8% weekly loss, as weak US data and fresh gold tariffs supported Fed rate cut bets to a 91% probability for September.
The BoJ kept its rate steady at 0.50% for a fourth consecutive meeting, with policymakers unanimous in their decision.
The US dollar index rose to nearly 99 this week, increasing by about 0.8% as strong economic data and waning Fed rate cut bets improved sentiment.