Central banks are maintaining a hawkish posture to combat persistent inflation pressures, led by a unanimous decision from the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by 25 basis points into a target range of 3.75%–4.00%. The Fed elevated its 2026 PCE inflation forecast to 3.7% and signalled a prolonged tightening cycle through its September dot plot, with the vast majority of participants forecasting higher rate paths through 2026 and 2027.
The Fed delivered its first rate increase since July 2023, unanimously lifting the target range to 3.75%–4.00% and leaving another hike possible before year-end.
The Bank of England kept its policy rate unchanged at 3.75% at its September meeting as policymakers continued to assess growing inflation risks from higher energy prices.